Taiwan crisis is just beginning – WaPo


Impact of US House speaker’s trip to the island could last ‘for years’, a Washington Post columnist predicts

The wider impact of US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan will become apparent”for weeks, months and years‘ after returning from her trip, a Washington Post columnist has argued.

Citing sources in the US government, Josh Rogin, the Post’s foreign policy columnist, predicted that while the Chinese military could respond to Pelosi’s divisive journey in the short term with “some aggressive movesLike rocket launches, Beijing will probably do its best to keep the stalemate from spiraling out of control.

The Chinese response”will come in phases and not primarily in the military domainRogin wrote in an op-ed published Tuesday after the US House speaker arrived on the self-governed island that Beijing considers part of its territory. Such a development canchange the relationship between the US and China forever,while putting pressure on Taiwan, he added.

According to the journalist, some US officials believe that “there is a contingent within the Chinese leadership” who like to use Pelosi’s trip as a pretext to change China’s stance in the region while increasing its military presence. The short-term retaliation could also target Taiwan’s economy and society, US officials think.

In addition, China could step up its alleged cyber attacks on the island, Rogin claimed in the op-ed. He quoted a source in the Biden administration as saying that China has a very wide range of tools to hurt Taiwan. According to the official, Beijing would be looking for any misstep by the island authorities to “take advantage aggressively” of it.

In addition, Pelosi’s visit increases the likelihood that Beijing will reject Biden’s call to set up.crash barriersfor competition between the US and China, the article says, while acknowledging that this could have been the case even if Pelosi had waived a visit to Taiwan.

Pelosi’s arrival on the island sparked strong protests from Beijing, which believes the visit by America’s third-ranking official to Taiwan violates China’s territorial integrity. According to the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the US “continually undermining China’s sovereignty, disproving the One-China policy, and even deliberately attempting to artificially create an incident in the Taiwan Strait.”

During her short and controversial stay in Taiwan, Pelosi addressed the local parliament and met the island’s leader, Tsai Ing-wen. She promised Washington “won’t let you down” her dedication to Taiwan, describing it as “one of the freest societies in the world.”

During Pelosi’s visit, the Chinese military also announced military exercises for the island, live firing in the Taiwan Strait and missile tests in the sea east of Taiwan.

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